Barry’s 2016 Kentucky Derby Update

April 2nd’s million dollar Florida Derby needs to update my last summary of the standing for the Run for the Roses on May 2. Normally I would wait till my next weekly report; but the Florida Derby was so impressive and since I failed to mention the winner; we must tell you about this race.

Nyquist an unbeaten horse in 7 starts won the Florida Derby in impressive and memorable fashion. His jockey, Mario Gutierriz, gave an incredible ride to demolish a 10 horse field and dash any hopes of a Derby win for second choice Mohaman. The replay shows Gutierriz muzzled the horse for nearly the first half mile of the race and he still had the lead setting a moderate pace which some handicappers will criticize unfairly. Two other horses pressured him down the back stretch, a tactic which will wear down many lesser horses. Mohaman lay just off his two rivals set to pounce on Nyquist as they entered the far turn. But no ! With a single look between his legs, Gutierriz hand rode his horse through the turn and into the stretch as Mohaman seemed incapable of gaining on him. He made his only mistake when he tapped Nyquist twice with his whip which made the horse veer out slightly as he moved to the wire; but soon gathered him and regained his momentum. He finished strong increasing his lead to 4 lengths.

One final point, my sentimental favorite Airoforce put in a dismal performance in the April 2nd Spiral Stakes at Turfway Park and is dropped from my Derby Watch List. April 9th will tell the rest with the Wood Memorial in New York, the Blue Grass Stakes at Keenland and the Santa Anita Derby at LA’s Santa Anita Racetrack.

2016 Kentucky Derby – May 7 – Churchill Downs

April 2 may mean Spring to most; but to me, it means one month to the most important day of the year….the first Saturday in May….DERBY DAY !

Well it is clearly too soon to predict a winner as I did last year…well sorta; but it is time to outline the top contenders:

We have Gun Runner a nice horse who had a winning albeit easy trip in the recent Louisiana Derby. He needs blinkers and a better rider; but may improve before May 7.

I like Flexibility who may be the first New York horse in a long time with a real chance to win the Derby. His win in the Withers however was a joke and his rider Ortiz sucks. So he will need some improvement.

Exaggerator is impressive. His close in the San Felipe Handicap was amazing and caught my attention. Watch out for this long shot at Churchill in May.

Airoforce One is my long shot early pick; but he ran terrible in his last start at Louisiana Derby finishing 10th. But if he recovers I am telling you this one has the strongest right lead in the stretch and I hope they give him another start.

Gun Runner is the likely favorite at this point. Picking a winner now is like trying to figure out who can win the Republican nomination…lol. I have a lot more research to do and races to watch so stay tuned.

Barry

Moving Screen Example – Illegal Pick – Offensive Foul

The ball handler and his defender are moving.  So, no teammate of the ball handler is allowed to move in to try to set a screen on that defender.   It is still an illegal pick and therefore an offensive foul if the player setting the screen (the screener) alters that defenders path or inhibits his movement, even if the screener does not make contact with that defender.  Also, the ball handler must understand that he cannot go in motion before the would-be screener stops moving. Often times, the ball handler actually causes the foul by moving early toward the would-be screener, but the screener is charged with the foul.  The screener must have the screen set fully (that is, he must be stopped and motionless and his feet no more than his shoulder width apart), before the ball handler should move toward the screener, which will have the effect of bringing his defender into the legally pre-established screen.